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Projected nominees are in yellow. Projected winners are in red. "Academy Awards" and "Oscar" are registered trademarks of the Academy of Motion Pictures Arts and Sciences (AMPAS).
| [Supp. Actress] | [Actress] | [Supp. Actor] | [Actor] | [Score] |
| [Director] | [Film] | [Sound Ed.] | [Visual FX] | [Makeup FX] |
Barbara Hershey - The Portrait of a Lady. Magnificent as the unscrupulous lover of John Malkovich. She's my second choice.
Marianne Jean-Baptiste, - Secrets and Lies. Excellent, stable performance recognized by a GG nomination.
Lynn Redgrave - Shine. The Academy won't ignore her work. Though the part is small, she played well opposite an odd character. She takes it home.
Lauren Bacall - The Mirror Has Two Faces. Everyone's smitten with this performance, but I think even Bacall is surprised. She was great, but this nomination is more like a lifetime achievement award they should have already given her. She might actually take it home.
Brenda Blethyn - Secrets and Lies. Her GG win probably won't carry over to the Oscars, but such a moving, emotional role must be nominated.
Goldie Hawn - First Wives Club. They can't nominate all three (Hawn, Keaton, and Midler), so because the role itself was so fitting for a nomination, Hawn'll be the one to represent the film.
Courtney Love - The People vs. Larry Flynt. Some argue that she wasn't acting. It doesn't matter. She was good.
Madonna - Evita. She did a great job. I don't personally think she deserves this nomination, but she'll get it.
Kristen Scott Thomas - The English Patient. Her part, somewhat shadowed by Juliet Binoche's is not large enough to win the category.
Liv Tyler - Stealing Beauty. She was absolutely perfect in this role. She will surprise everyone and take it home. (I have balls to put this in writing, eh?)
POSSIBILITY: Nicole Kidman - Portrait of a Lady. She deserved the award last year for "To Die For". They may try to compensate her with another nomination. This nomination would happen instead of Liv Tyler's, and then the award will go to (blech) Madonna.
Noah Taylor - Shine. This kid, on the other hand, was new, fresh, and unexpected. He may steal it from his costar (Mueller-Stahl), on that basis only. He takes it home.
Gene Hackman - Extreme Measures. This nomination will happen for two reasons: 1) It was a good performance and a juicy role. 2) Those voting members who have ever worried about film budgets will appreciate Hackman's scale-salary work in the face of increasingly absurd demands.
Tony Shalhoub - Big Night. This is a nomination for good work and acceptance of small budget, independent releases.
Ron Silver - The Arrival. Okay, I'm reaching here, but this is a tough category. He was excellent, as was this very overlooked film.
Liam Neeson - Michael Collins. Solid acting. The problem here is that peole are so accustomed to strong performances by Neeson that they may overlook him for the award.
Tom Cruise - Jerry Maguire. He'll be nominated but won't win in a year inundated with non-mainstream performances.
Ralph Fiennes - The English Patient. A shoe-in for the award until Geoffrey Rush came along. This is a tough, tough call.
Geoffrey Rush - Shine. A truly groundbreaking performance. He walks the famous tightrope between genius and insanity without ever making us feel uneasy. I give the edge to Rush. He takes it home.
POSSIBILITIES: Michael Douglas - The Ghost and the Darkness. It would be nice to see this performance recognized; it was his best ever. His nomination would kick out Neeson's, but he won't win. Neither will Ewan McGregor, who might also take this slot for his work in Trainspotting.
Elliot Goldenthal - Michael Collins
Richard Hartley - Stealing Beauty
Gabriel Yared - The English
Patient: Profoundly moving and emotional. It is abundantly clear that Yared understood this film intimately while scoring it. He takes it home.
Marvin Hamlisch - Mirror Has Two Faces
David Hirschfelder - Shine
Anthony Minghella - The English Patient. If you've seen it, you know why he'll take it home.
Milos Forman - The People vs. Larry Flynt. The GG win was a surprise considering the competition. It was wonderfully directed, but a little difficult for the academy to digest, I think.
Scott Hicks - Shine. My Second Choice, this was in some ways better-directed than The English Patient. eMail me if you care to know why I say that.
Stephen Hopkins - The Ghost and the Darkness. I hope he doesn't get ignored for a fabulous, beautifully shot movie with strong performances from Kilmer and Douglas.
Danny Boyle - Trainspotting. Not really Academy fodder, but they will want to nominate it as Il Postino was last year to get Americans used to foreign intervention in these top categories.
Evita
Stealing Beauty
The English Patient
The People vs. Larry Flynt
Shine
Independence Day - filled with all the classic booms and explosions Hollywood likes to award.
Twister - because of its enormous noise factor, it should edge out ID4.
The English Patient - subtle, fantastic audio transitions in and out of Fiennes' dream state. If the voters are feeling artistic, this could take it.
Independence Day
Nutty Professor
Eraser
Mars Attacks
Twister
"The Arrival" might get nominated, but it is moot as the obvious choice is ID4. I doubt that Twister will get it.
POSSIBILITY: Perhaps a special achievement award will go to "Multiplicity" or "James and the Giant Peach"
Rick Baker - The Nutty Professor
Stan Winston - The Island of Dr. Moreau
These two will tie.
POSSIBILITY: "The English Patient" could be nominated for its gruesome burn makeup, but it really doesn't compare to the two others.
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